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As 2019 comes to an end, Chinese textiles are becoming more and more incomprehensible. Under the big waves, the global economy is under too much pressure and the market capacity is saturated, but the circle of friends has been selling goods, selling miserably, reducing prices, demanding debts, and so on!
A few days ago, there was a picture on the Internet that said 2017 is to the left and 2019 is to the right. At this time in 2017, the country proposed that "green mountains and green mountains are golden mountains and silver mountains", and the market was "lively and extraordinary" , A cloth is hard to find! Two years passed in the blink of an eye, some people said that the market was entering a cold winter, and some people said that it was selling well. Which is the truth that is happening?
Earlier, I heard a small partner from Guangzhong Zhongda said that in the past two years, the market has replaced many business owners, and they are unable to survive. There are almost no single rents in May-September, and the warehouse is particularly expensive. When there is no capital on hand, it is impossible to survive, and from the current market situation, the market next year is estimated to be not optimistic! However, the laws of the market economy generally follow the law of 28. In simple terms, no matter how good the market is, 20% of people lose, and no matter how bad the market is, 20% of people make money.
This year's textile market has an obvious feature, which is "polarization." For example, when the volume and price of conventional chemical fiber fabrics fell, and no one was paying attention, non-ammonia super-stretch fabrics T400, T800 and other fabrics were waiting in line; when the Sino-US trade friction escalated and US orders shrank sharply, orders in Southeast Asia such as Vietnam increased significantly ; When the salesman of the dyeing factory as the market goods asked the customer to pull some cloth to do it, there was a warehouse that was directly exploded, and even a few kilometers of cloth could not be pulled in. Various signs showed that even if everyone said that the environment was bad , There are also highlights to find!
Traders began to stock up, and the price of grey fabrics finally “stands firm”!
Let's take a look at the fabric market at the end of the year!
"In the past two days, I went to the market to get cloth, and the prices couldn't be negotiated. Now everyone thinks it's time to stock up, so the seller is not willing to lower the price." Said a general cloth trader, Mr. Yang.
With the closing of the autumn and winter fabrics, the rhythm of spring, summer, proofing, proofing and ordering began to accelerate in the market. Among them, the sales of products such as crepe, ramie, and chiffon all improved, and the inventory of some manufacturers declined.
Mr. Wang, the person in charge of a manufacturing company specializing in silk fabrics in Shengze area, said that recently, there will be 2-3 million meters of blazer every day, and the stock in the factory is only a little old, although the simulation in September and October Silk prices have clearly fallen, but prices have stabilized recently.
In addition, another company specializing in Chunya textiles also said that although the inventory has been going slowly in the near future, the orders on hand can be made by the end of December. At least the orders before the holiday are not worrying. "Now the price of grey cloths on the market has dropped to a very low level, and we are not going to cut prices any more this year," said Mr. Chen, the owner of the weaving mill.
It is now one month in the end of 2019. Compared with previous years, the current market is still not satisfactory. At least at this time in previous years, the dyeing factory will send out a stockout message. Traders rush to issue a batch of goods before the Spring Festival. However, this year most of the dyeing factories said that they have not lived much, and the start of dyeing tanks has only been maintained at about 80%, and a small number of dyeing factories will have warehouse explosion.
However, compared with the market after the double 11 market, the current fabric trading atmosphere is slightly better. Taking Shengze as an example, more than half of the textile bosses can make orders on hand in mid-to-late December, and manufacturers' inventory growth has begun to slow down. Some are even reducing inventory. In addition to the reduction in operating load, the improvement in demand is also one of the factors that boost the market, which has led to the previous steady price of grey cloths.
Winter is here, can spring be far behind?
After experiencing the "crazy" in 2017 and 2018, the market in 2019 has returned to rationality. Today, the textile owner is unwilling to look at the market in the previous two years, because it is basically found that in addition to pulling cold or pulling cold. There are also a few companies that have made big strides, and have gradually reduced their plates in the second half of the year. After all, businessmen tend to profit, and if an industry is losing money for a long time, there will be more companies that flee or fall.
It is reported that a company that originally had more than 600 water jet loom sold 150 loom in the second half of the year, and the remaining loom has been maintained at an operating rate of about 80%, which has even dropped to less than 50% recently. And this phenomenon is not an exception. The industry as a whole is in a weak state, and the textile boss has to "break off the tail to survive"!
Regarding next year's textile market, many textile people still plant the seeds of "unrest" in their hearts. After all, so many stocks on the market that are not digested are "time bombs". Once manufacturers sell goods on a large scale, the market price will smash down, and the profit margin that was originally "thin as thin as a cicada" will be directly pierced, so it may not be a good life in the first half of next year.
An industry source said: "The current poor performance of the downstream apparel end of the textile industry directly leads to difficult blowouts in fabric demand. For example, the sales of Double 11 are not as expected, which has led many brands to focus on destocking in the first half of next year. Lord, it will inevitably reduce the purchase of raw materials. "From this we can see that the pressure on the demand side is still relatively great.
Of course, at the end of 2019, the short-term improvement is unlikely to drive the entire industry to improve, but there may still be opportunities for gold in small varieties or new categories. After all, winter has arrived, can spring be far behind?
Source: Global Textile Network
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